Power consumption forecast was a lie



In the summer of 2011, Japanese government predicted Japan would be short of electricity by 9.2%, but they actually had another prediction to assume there would be still 6.0% of surplus, and it was hidden by the government.

Japanese government started the law of power consumption restriction in the summer of 2011 on the assumption that the summer would be as hot as 2010, when was unusually hot, and all the nuclear plants would stop.

Additionally, they assumed the supply of recyclable energy was zero, where it is actually 7.59 million kW (=7 nuclear plants), some of the generating power plants would be stopped for periodic check in August at once, where it was not August actually, corporations could not save power for discount, where they managed to reduce the power consumption actually, pumped storage generation capacity was lower than actual.

From the assumption without all these data manipulations, the power had 6.0% of surplus even without power consumption restriction, which caused unnecessary traffic accidents and death from heat stroke of old people.

Mr.Kusakabe, a cabinet councilor from National policy Uni says, they needed to be careful not to cause a power shortage, but Mr.Kajiyama, Prime minister assistant team member from Fujitsu research institute states, it was based on an extreme assumption to be beneficial for electric companies. It was also used by politician who want to re-start nuclear plants. Another assumption to estimate 6.0% of surplus could not be published in the confusion of the political situation.


毎日新聞 1月23日(月)2時30分配信







Categories: Uncategorized

About Author