Fukushima prefectural birth rate rapidly dropping in 2012

According to Fukushima prefecture, the birth rate is rapidly dropping.

2008.10~2009.9 : 8.06 ‰
2009.10~2010.9 : 7.92 ‰ (↓0.14‰)
2010.10~2011.9 : 7.75 ‰ (↓0.17‰)
2011.10~2012.9 : 6.99 ‰ (↓0.76‰)

Birth rate = (Birth from October to next September ) / (Population of March) × 1,000

The latest population statistics published by the local government is still September.2012, so it’s counted from October to September.

Fukushima prefectural birth rate rapidly dropping in 2012





Le nascite nella prefettura di Fukushima stanno rapidamente scendendo nel 2012

Secondo la prefettura di Fukushima, il tasso di natalità sta calando rapidamente.

2008.10~2009.9 : 8.06 ‰
2009.10~2010.9 : 7.92 ‰ (↓0.14‰)
2010.10~2011.9 : 7.75 ‰ (↓0.17‰)
2011.10~2012.9 : 6.99 ‰ (↓0.76‰)

Tasso di natalità = (Nascite da Ottobre al Settembre successivo) / (Popolazione di Marzo) x 1000

Le ultime statistiche sulla popolazione pubblicate dal governo locale sono ancora di Settembre 2012, quindi è contato da Ottobre a Settembre.


Français :

Le taux de natalité de la préfecture de Fukushima a chuté rapidement en 2012

Selon la préfecture de Fukushima, la natalité est en diminution rapide.
oct 2008 ~ sept 2009 : 8.06 ‰
oct 2009 ~ sept 2010 : 7.92 ‰ (↓0.14‰)
oct 2010 ~ sept 2011 : 7.75 ‰ (↓0.17‰)
oct 2011 ~ sept 2012 : 6.99 ‰ (↓0.76‰)

Natalité = (naissances d’octobre au septembre suivant ) / (Population en mars) × 1 000

Les dernières statistiques de population publiées par les autorités locales sont toujours celles de septembre 2012, donc c’est compté d’octobre à septembre.

Le taux de natalité de la préfecture de Fukushima a chuté rapidement en 2012






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8 Responses to “Fukushima prefectural birth rate rapidly dropping in 2012”

  1. E Parry says:

    From what I recall, Japan’s birth rate in general is dropping. This *may* not be such a bad thing, so long as it is related to population pressures, not to anything else.

    Sadly, Japan, like many places around the world, now has a population size and density that is unsustainable. Nearly all food was imported even before Mar11 because there is insufficient space to grow food natively *and* protect Japan’s natural areas. Japan also imports many other things, and primarily managed to do this by balancing imports with money raised from exporting manufactured goods.

    The presence of Nuclear power is a sure sign that the population is too big to be sustainable. The Japanese have worked hard to try to equalise the welfare of their people, which is a very good thing. But that means that at that higher quality of life (which nobody should seek to take away from them), every person added is a substantial addition to demand for energy, demand for food, demand for services, demand for waste collection and demand for waste processing and disposal, including a substantial addition to environmental damage done for every instance where waste is not perfectly disposed of in a way that nature can reclaim, reuse, or recycle.

    It should be noted however that the Japanese are more conscientious than most nations with this problem. For many years, they have avoided having large numbers of children. As a people, to us outsiders with a knowledge of such things they seem to be innately aware that the world is not a magic basket which every time it is emptied, will spontaneously fill up again. Maybe this comes from the fact that the Japanese are islanders, and islanders are usually, at some point in their history, forced into self-sufficiency and therefore must carefully manage not only how they use the land, but also their numbers dependent upon it.

    Nevertheless, Japan is part of the world market, and the world market, is based on flawed economic principles that assume not only that there will be growth, but that there *must* be growth. Economic growth like the population growth and resource extraction growth, and resource use growth that it depends upon, cannot keep going forever. The problem for Japan any anyone who might recognise this is that if you decide to stop growing, by the rules that the world markets play, that means you’re failing, and that can have real negative consequences.

    Falling population size also has its own problems. The Chinese have recognised this, as they sought to prevent their population from becoming irreversibly unsustainable, they failed to correctly predict and cater for the effects of having an aging population. Ideally they could have sought to even out the population by stipulating not one child but two per couple (or rather, 1 per individual person). This would bring about a reduced population size as not all people would have offspring before they died, and even if they matched gender ratios, a segment of the population would be homosexual, or unable to produce offspring, or would simply fail to find partners to have them with. That would have been my recommendation to China, and is my recommendation to all other nations.

    Later when population is stabilising and you want to keep it steady, you allow the trade of rights to offspring, so that a couple who only want one child, can donate the right to have another child to a couple who already have two but would like one more.

    What I want to know from Fukushima Diary’s article here is: Is this decline in birth rates a sign that Japanese people are well aware of the fact that their population is too large and in their own way, they are voluntarily and carefully trying to reduce it, or is it because of other, less benign or less altruistic reasons like e.g. medical inability to conceive, or stress causing difficulties for couples, a lack of appropriate housing for people to start their families etc?

    • Bambam says:

      @E Parry: I agree with you. Finally, somebody aware of the real problems of this mad world: the will of infinite growing in a finite world. Finite is the water, arable land, metals, oil, gas, uranium, fishery, etc. The growth “must” be infinite in order to employ people because even if the population remains, productivity improvements create unemployment. This model, our model, is doomed and has less future than a candy in the schoolyard.

      Unfortunately, Japanese aren’t, in my opinion, aware of this issue. For example buy something into a “convenient store” (24 hours shops): products are full of wrappers and they even give you a plastic bag no matter how little the product is (even a can!) Cities are too illuminated, with neon lights and that “the future is now” look. If they were illuminated like in Europe, for example, maybe Japan would need one or two less nuclear reactors. At least, it was that way when I was there (2005 – 2007)

      Japan is an overpopulated country that needs to be nuclearized in order to play in the Champions League of the world economy with the big guys.

  2. pat b says:

    i hope this is young women moving out of the area, and not a sterility effect

    • Maria says:

      That might be a part of the reasons why birth rate is sharply declining in Fukushima. I know that more young people are voluntarily moving out of there.

  3. VyseLegendaire says:

    The primary reason for pop. decline is a. post Baby-Boomer period, b. peak economic development reached long ago c. decades of declining prospects and real economy, producing less ‘growth’ in all areas, and d. quality of life goes up, so the production of offspring goes down – both because it takes more time and energy to raising one person well than many poorly (ask India), and because the current young are too stress/overworked/confused/unable to deal with families.

  4. Iwanttolive says:

    We have to take into account those evacuating from Fukushima as well. Better to look at migration stats in tandem.

  5. I'm Not Here says:

    Worthless graph without the details.

    Population of women now and then,reported pregnancies, miscarriages, elective abortions,fertility in men and women.Is this just from evacuations zones, etc.

  6. anonymous says:

    I’m hopeful that this means they had enough sense to move away from TEPCOs toilet.

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