The possibility of Chiba to be hit scale 6- in 30 years is 75.7%

Earthquake Research Committee of the government published the possibility of various regions that may be hit by an earthquake larger than scale 6- in 30 years, which was revised by considering the effect 311.

The results are below. (Possibility of being hit by an earthquake larger than scale 6- in 30 years)

Chiba city : 75.7%
Yokohama city : 71%
Mito city : 62.3%
Saitama city : 27.3%
Tokyo : 23.2%
Shizuoka city : 89.7%
Tsu city : 87.4%
Nara city : 70.2%
Kohchi city : 66.9%
Tokushima city : 64.2%
Osaka city : 62.8%

However, they considered only 110 active faults from 2,000 active faults all around in Japan.
Before 311, the earthquake possibility in Sendai was 4%, also, it was 0.9% in Fukushima city, 0.7% in Morioka city.



Français :

La probabilité que la ville de Chiba soit frappée par un séisme 6- d’ici 30 ans est de 75,7 %

Le Comité de Recherche sur les Séismes du gouvernement a publié les probabilités de séismes supérieurs à 6- dans les 30 ans, chose qui a été revue en prenant en compte les effets du 11-3.

Les résultats sont les suivants (Probabilité de séisme > 6- d’ici 30 ans, par ville) :
Chiba : 75.7%
Yokohama : 71%
Mito : 62.3%
Saitama : 27.3%
Tokyo : 23.2%
Shizuoka : 89.7%
Tsu : 87.4%
Nara : 70.2%
Kohchi : 66.9%
Tokushima : 64.2%
Osaka : 62.8%

Toutefois, ils n’ont pris en compte que 110 des 2 000 failles actives connues au Japon.
Avant le 11-3, la probabilité de séisme était de 4 % pour Sendai, elle était de 0,9 % pour la ville de Fukushima, de 0,7 % pour celle de Morioka.


About this site

This website updates the latest news about the Fukushima nuclear plant and also archives the past news from 2011. Because it's always updated and added live, articles, categories and the tags are not necessarily fitted in the latest format.
I am the writer of this website. About page remains in 2014. This is because my memory about 311 was clearer than now, 2023, and I think it can have a historical value. Now I'm living in Romania with 3 cats as an independent data scientist.
Actually, nothing has progressed in the plant since 2011. We still don't even know what is going on inside. They must keep cooling the crippled reactors by water, but additionally groundwater keeps flowing into the reactor buildings from the broken parts. This is why highly contaminated water is always produced more than it can circulate. Tepco is planning to officially discharge this water to the Pacific but Tritium is still remaining in it. They dilute this with seawater so that it is legally safe, but scientifically the same amount of radioactive tritium is contained. They say it is safe to discharge, but none of them have drunk it.


December 2012