Cabinet office of JP, “It’s impossible to predict Nankai megathrust earthquake, beyond the ability of modern science”

On 3/20/2013, Fukushima Diary reported “The potential Nankai megathrust earthquake would cause 220 trillion yen damage and 5 million evacuees [URL]”

On 5/28/2013, the researching team of Japanese cabinet office announced it’s extremely difficult to predict Nankai megathrust earthquake with a certain precision in their final report.

In case of M9.1 class of the earthquake offshore South West offshore Japan, the economical damage would be 220.3 trillion yen and 323,000 people would die, 2,382,000 buildings would be destroyed. This is 42% of the whole GDP, 10 times worse than 311.

Over 10m of Tsunami is assumed to hit 13 prefectures including Tokyo.

They stated the monitoring stations are not enough to detect all the symptomatic quakes or tremors.

The researching team concluded that the regulation of Large-Scale Earthquake Countermeasures Law is beyond the capacity of modern science.



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Français :

Le Bureau du Cabinet du Japon : “Il est impossible de prévoir le méga-séisme de Nankai, c’est au-delà des capacités de la science moderne”


Le 20 mars 2013, le Fukushima Diary publiait “Le probable méga-séisme de Nankai va coûter 220 milliards de yens de dégâts et faire 5 millions d’évacués

Le 28 mai 2013, l’équipe de recherche du bureau du cabinet japonais déclare dans son rapport final qu’il est extrêmement difficile de prévoir le méga-séisme de Nankai avec une précision certaine.
En cas de séisme de classe M9,1 au large et au Sud-Ouest du Japon, les dégâts économique seraient de 220,3 trillion de yens, il y aurait 323 000 morts, 2 382 000 bâtiments seraient détruits. C’est 42% de tout le PIB, 10 fois pire que le 11-3.
Un tsunami de plus de 10m est attendu de frapper 13 préfectures dont Tokyo.
Ils affirment que les stations de surveillance ne sont pas assez nombreuses pour détecter tous les séismes et tremblements symptomatiques.
L’équipe de recherche conclus que la règlementation de la Loi sur les Contre-mesures aux Séismes à Grande Échelle est au-delà des capacités de la science moderne.


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About this site

This website updates the latest news about the Fukushima nuclear plant and also archives the past news from 2011. Because it's always updated and added live, articles, categories and the tags are not necessarily fitted in the latest format.
I am the writer of this website. About page remains in 2014. This is because my memory about 311 was clearer than now, 2023, and I think it can have a historical value. Now I'm living in Romania with 3 cats as an independent data scientist.
Actually, nothing has progressed in the plant since 2011. We still don't even know what is going on inside. They must keep cooling the crippled reactors by water, but additionally groundwater keeps flowing into the reactor buildings from the broken parts. This is why highly contaminated water is always produced more than it can circulate. Tepco is planning to officially discharge this water to the Pacific but Tritium is still remaining in it. They dilute this with seawater so that it is legally safe, but scientifically the same amount of radioactive tritium is contained. They say it is safe to discharge, but none of them have drunk it.


May 2013